Is anybody offering a betting strategy for Pinnacle?
bump
I am.
BettingEVBot > FootballLive1 is a replication of FootballLive but in Pinnacle. The negative results are related to variance. I can let you follow with 0.25% fee only on each bet.
Sample size is not enough to be statistically significant. The negative results could be variance or -EV.
I would be interested when there is at least 2,000 samples collected with positive results.
Well my source when approached manually is giving more than 9% yield on 6500 bets in bet365. If this is not enough sample size to guarantee that it generates +EV bets then I don’t really understand what we are discussing here.
The Pinnacle source is a mirror of the bet365 source, so if it takes less bets at same odds it will still deviate to 9% yield, just that it will take longer than the bet365 source.
If there’s no user to follow the source then bets are not being taken and cannot be stored. I’m offering 0.25% fee on it for the first user that wants to follow it.
I understand that if there's no user to follow the source then bets are not taken and cannot be stored.
However, you would need to put yourself in the shoes of a potential user.
How could a potential user verify your claim of 9% yield on 6,500 bets?
Hey.
How to verify my claim:
My bet365 source has almost 1k bets verified at smartbet at +8% yield. So this is 1/6 of my real sample size but it still deviates for more or less the 9% yield that I have.
Also, if I send you part of the history file for the complete sample size of bets, does it change anything? You would still be looking at it while probably not believing right?
so far this source of yours has a negative yield of -4% after 200 bets, i hope the tide changes soon. i'll love to follow
BettingEVBot said:
The Pinnacle source is a mirror of the bet365 source, so if it takes less bets at same odds it will still deviate to 9% yield, just that it will take longer than the bet365 source.
Can you please explaine that a little bit more, have I understood correct, that you say that the Pin source is a copy of the Bet365 source, but its not just as much bets that suites the rules on Pin as on Bet365 and therefore during the same amount of time you will probably have like 1k Bet365 bets but only 200Pinnacle bets that will pass the filter (just an example)